Analyzing Endrick’s Future
It looks like the current date is December 29, 2025, which places us in the middle of the 2025-26 season. However, my knowledge only goes up to October 2024, so I need to remain cautious about stating any specific stats after that point. The user likely seeks a thorough analysis on whether Endrick should be loaned out. I’ll structure this analysis into sections, focusing on his current role, pros and cons of staying versus going, and historical examples of successful integration. Additionally, I can highlight how Real Madrid's approach with other Brazilian players suggests that staying could be beneficial for him.Assessing Loan Success Rates
Marca suggests that few forwards returning from loans find success at Real Madrid, partly because Ancelotti favors a stable starting XI. Typically, loan returns struggle to break into the team, as the focus is more on selling with buyback or future clauses. Here are some key bullet points:
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- Historical examples of loan return struggles: Mayoral, De Tomás, Negredo, Joselu (initially), and Mariano.
- Morata had partial success upon returning.
- Joselu's situation in 2023/24 is a rare success story, as he was already a seasoned veteran.
- It's crucial to clarify that my knowledge only extends to October 2024, and I don’t have the latest information past this date.Structuring Endrick's Analysis
Let's carry out a structural analysis of Endrick’s potential role. I’ll highlight his possible minutes as a super-sub, in cup games, or as a right-sided forward next to players like Mbappé or Vini, focusing on pressing. Key success factors will include his off-ball pressing, link-up play, movement in the box, and aerial capabilities. Endrick is short but strong, with a good low center, making him effective in duels. During his time at Palmeiras, he played as a mobile No. 9. If a loan is necessary, a mid-table La Liga team with a two-striker system might suit him, like Girona or Real Sociedad, but I'll keep the recommendations generic.Reviewing Historical Loan Returns
Here’s a look at historical data regarding forwards returning from loans to Real Madrid:
- Álvaro Morata: Youth product who had a 20-goal season but didn't last long-term after being bought back.
- Borja Mayoral: Returned but remained a squad player before being sold.
- Raúl de Tomás: Multiple loans, but never established himself.
- Joselu: Returned on loan for 2023-24 and had an impactful run, including scoring a brace against Bayern; yet, he wasn't an external loan return.
- Mariano: Returned after being sold but didn't find success.
- Negredo: Bought back but never played.
The trend shows that Real Madrid rarely reintegrates loaned strikers into the long-term squad.Recommending Endrick's Path Forward
If Endrick goes on loan, there's a risk he could follow a similar path as other players who haven’t succeeded after returning. It might be better for him to stay and integrate into the team. My recommendation would be for him to remain for at least the first year, aiming for a defined role that allows for 1,200 to 1,800 minutes on the pitch. If he falls short of this threshold by winter, consider a targeted 12 to 18-month loan with a clear development plan.